AZ Alkmaar
vs
Sturm Graz
AI prediction
AZ Alkmaar to win
Win probability: 65% · fair odds 1.55
AZ Alkmaar vs Sturm Graz Prediction
Our statistical model tips AZ Alkmaar to win in UEFA Europa League on Thursday, 10 December 2026, giving AZ Alkmaar a 65% win chance, the draw 22% and Sturm Graz 13%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with projected expected goals of 1.62-0.54. Over 2.5 goals is rated 37% and both teams to score 33%. AZ Alkmaar come in on LLLWD form, Sturm Graz on LDLDW.
Match result probability (1X2)
Key predictions
1-0
Likely score (19%)
1.62–0.54
Expected goals
37%
Over 2.5 goals
33%
Both teams score
Form & ratings
AZ Alkmaar
LLLWD
Attack Strong · Defence Strong
Scored 7 · Conceded 7
vs
Sturm Graz
LDLDW
Attack Average · Defence Strong
Scored 8 · Conceded 9
Most likely scorelines
- 1-019%
- 2-015%
- 0-011%
AZ Alkmaar vs Sturm Graz — prediction FAQ
Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Sturm Graz?
Our model makes AZ Alkmaar the pick, with 65% for AZ Alkmaar, 22% for the draw and 13% for Sturm Graz.
What is the predicted score for AZ Alkmaar vs Sturm Graz?
The most likely scoreline is 1-0 (19%), from projected expected goals of 1.62-0.54.
Will both teams score in AZ Alkmaar vs Sturm Graz?
Both teams to score is rated 33% likely, and over 2.5 goals 37%.
Predictions are generated by SportScore's statistical model for information and entertainment only — not betting advice. 18+.