Skip to main content
Netherlands Eredivisie · Sunday, 22 November 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
vs
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
AI prediction
AZ Alkmaar to win
Win probability: 52% · fair odds 1.91

Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Our statistical model tips AZ Alkmaar to win in Netherlands Eredivisie on Sunday, 22 November 2026, giving Sparta Rotterdam a 23% win chance, the draw 24% and AZ Alkmaar 53%. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with projected expected goals of 1.22-1.91. Over 2.5 goals is rated 60% and both teams to score 61%. Sparta Rotterdam come in on LWDLW form, AZ Alkmaar on WLLLW.

Match result probability (1X2)

23%
24%
53%
Sparta Rotterdam win Draw AZ Alkmaar win

Key predictions

1-1
Likely score (11%)
1.22–1.91
Expected goals
60%
Over 2.5 goals
61%
Both teams score

Form & ratings

Sparta Rotterdam
LWDLW
Attack Average · Defence Weak
Scored 10 · Conceded 11
vs
AZ Alkmaar
WLLLW
Attack Strong · Defence Strong
Scored 9 · Conceded 8

Most likely scorelines

  • 1-111%
  • 1-210%
  • 0-28%

Head-to-head

3 Sparta Rotterdam 6 Draws 20 AZ Alkmaar
10%
21%
69%
These two have met 29 times.

Netherlands Eredivisie Standings

#TeamPWDLGDPts
12Sparta Rotterdam12336-812
5AZ Alkmaar12723+823

More on this matchup

Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar — prediction FAQ

Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar?

Our model makes AZ Alkmaar the pick, with 23% for Sparta Rotterdam, 24% for the draw and 53% for AZ Alkmaar.

What is the predicted score for Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar?

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%), from projected expected goals of 1.22-1.91.

Will both teams score in Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar?

Both teams to score is rated 61% likely, and over 2.5 goals 60%.

What is the head-to-head record for Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar?

In 29 previous meetings, Sparta Rotterdam have won 3, AZ Alkmaar 20, and 6 ended level.

Where do Sparta Rotterdam and AZ Alkmaar sit in the Netherlands Eredivisie table?

Sparta Rotterdam are 12th with 12 points and AZ Alkmaar are 5th with 23 points.

Predictions are generated by SportScore's statistical model for information and entertainment only — not betting advice. 18+.