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Italian Serie A · Sunday, 06 December 2026 · 19:45 UTC
AC Milan AC Milan
vs
Parma Parma
AI prediction
AC Milan to win
Win probability: 62% · fair odds 1.61

AC Milan vs Parma Prediction

Our statistical model tips AC Milan to win in Italian Serie A on Sunday, 06 December 2026, giving AC Milan a 62% win chance, the draw 23% and Parma 15%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with projected expected goals of 1.7-0.68. Over 2.5 goals is rated 42% and both teams to score 40%. AC Milan come in on WLWLW form, Parma on LWDLL.

Match result probability (1X2)

62%
23%
15%
AC Milan win Draw Parma win

Key predictions

1-0
Likely score (16%)
1.7–0.68
Expected goals
42%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
Both teams score

Form & ratings

AC Milan
WLWLW
Attack Elite · Defence Strong
Scored 9 · Conceded 8
vs
Parma
LWDLL
Attack Weak · Defence Strong
Scored 5 · Conceded 7

Most likely scorelines

  • 1-016%
  • 2-013%
  • 1-111%

Head-to-head

20 AC Milan 7 Draws 5 Parma
62%
22%
16%
These two have met 32 times.

Italian Serie A Standings

#TeamPWDLGDPts
4AC Milan11731+1024
16Parma11227-88

More on this matchup

AC Milan vs Parma — prediction FAQ

Who will win AC Milan vs Parma?

Our model makes AC Milan the pick, with 62% for AC Milan, 23% for the draw and 15% for Parma.

What is the predicted score for AC Milan vs Parma?

The most likely scoreline is 1-0 (16%), from projected expected goals of 1.7-0.68.

Will both teams score in AC Milan vs Parma?

Both teams to score is rated 40% likely, and over 2.5 goals 42%.

What is the head-to-head record for AC Milan vs Parma?

In 32 previous meetings, AC Milan have won 20, Parma 5, and 7 ended level.

Where do AC Milan and Parma sit in the Italian Serie A table?

AC Milan are 4th with 24 points and Parma are 16th with 8 points.

How this prediction is made →

Predictions are generated by SportScore's statistical model for information and entertainment only — not betting advice. 18+.