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English Premier League · Saturday, 21 November 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Newcastle United Newcastle United
vs
Arsenal Arsenal
AI prediction
Arsenal to win
Win probability: 58% · fair odds 1.74

Newcastle United vs Arsenal Prediction

Our statistical model tips Arsenal to win in English Premier League on Saturday, 21 November 2026, giving Newcastle United a 17% win chance, the draw 25% and Arsenal 58%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with projected expected goals of 0.86-1.74. Over 2.5 goals is rated 48% and both teams to score 48%. Newcastle United come in on LLWLL form, Arsenal on WDWDW.

Match result probability (1X2)

17%
25%
58%
Newcastle United win Draw Arsenal win

Key predictions

0-1
Likely score (12%)
0.86–1.74
Expected goals
48%
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Both teams score

Form & ratings

Newcastle United
LLWLL
Attack Strong · Defence Average
Scored 4 · Conceded 9
vs
Arsenal
WDWDW
Attack Elite · Defence Elite
Scored 7 · Conceded 3

Most likely scorelines

  • 0-112%
  • 1-112%
  • 0-211%

Head-to-head

12 Newcastle United 11 Draws 41 Arsenal
19%
17%
64%
These two have met 64 times.

English Premier League Standings

#TeamPWDLGDPts
13Newcastle United9324-311
1Arsenal9801+924

More on this matchup

Newcastle United vs Arsenal — prediction FAQ

Who will win Newcastle United vs Arsenal?

Our model makes Arsenal the pick, with 17% for Newcastle United, 25% for the draw and 58% for Arsenal.

What is the predicted score for Newcastle United vs Arsenal?

The most likely scoreline is 0-1 (12%), from projected expected goals of 0.86-1.74.

Will both teams score in Newcastle United vs Arsenal?

Both teams to score is rated 48% likely, and over 2.5 goals 48%.

What is the head-to-head record for Newcastle United vs Arsenal?

In 64 previous meetings, Newcastle United have won 12, Arsenal 41, and 11 ended level.

Where do Newcastle United and Arsenal sit in the English Premier League table?

Newcastle United are 13th with 11 points and Arsenal are 1st with 24 points.

Predictions are generated by SportScore's statistical model for information and entertainment only — not betting advice. 18+.