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Scottish Premiership · Saturday, 05 December 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Motherwell F.C. Motherwell F.C.
vs
Kilmarnock F.C. Kilmarnock F.C.
AI prediction
Motherwell F.C. to win
Win probability: 59% · fair odds 1.69

Motherwell F.C. vs Kilmarnock F.C. Prediction

Our statistical model tips Motherwell F.C. to win in Scottish Premiership on Saturday, 05 December 2026, giving Motherwell F.C. a 59% win chance, the draw 22% and Kilmarnock F.C. 19%. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with projected expected goals of 1.95-1.03. Over 2.5 goals is rated 57% and both teams to score 55%. Motherwell F.C. come in on DWDLL form, Kilmarnock F.C. on LDLLW.

Match result probability (1X2)

59%
22%
19%
Motherwell F.C. win Draw Kilmarnock F.C. win

Key predictions

1-1
Likely score (10%)
1.95–1.03
Expected goals
57%
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Both teams score

Form & ratings

Motherwell F.C.
DWDLL
Attack Strong · Defence Strong
Scored 6 · Conceded 8
vs
Kilmarnock F.C.
LDLLW
Attack Average · Defence Weak
Scored 6 · Conceded 11

Most likely scorelines

  • 1-110%
  • 1-010%
  • 2-110%

Head-to-head

31 Motherwell F.C. 16 Draws 28 Kilmarnock F.C.
41%
21%
38%
These two have met 75 times.

Scottish Premiership Standings

#TeamPWDLGDPts
9Motherwell F.C.13346-613
12Kilmarnock F.C.13238-169

More on this matchup

Motherwell F.C. vs Kilmarnock F.C. — prediction FAQ

Who will win Motherwell F.C. vs Kilmarnock F.C.?

Our model makes Motherwell F.C. the pick, with 59% for Motherwell F.C., 22% for the draw and 19% for Kilmarnock F.C..

What is the predicted score for Motherwell F.C. vs Kilmarnock F.C.?

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%), from projected expected goals of 1.95-1.03.

Will both teams score in Motherwell F.C. vs Kilmarnock F.C.?

Both teams to score is rated 55% likely, and over 2.5 goals 57%.

What is the head-to-head record for Motherwell F.C. vs Kilmarnock F.C.?

In 75 previous meetings, Motherwell F.C. have won 31, Kilmarnock F.C. 28, and 16 ended level.

Where do Motherwell F.C. and Kilmarnock F.C. sit in the Scottish Premiership table?

Motherwell F.C. are 9th with 13 points and Kilmarnock F.C. are 12th with 9 points.

How this prediction is made →

Predictions are generated by SportScore's statistical model for information and entertainment only — not betting advice. 18+.