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English Premier League · Sunday, 29 November 2026 · 16:30 UTC
Arsenal Arsenal
vs
Manchester City Manchester City
AI prediction
Arsenal to win
Win probability: 47% · fair odds 2.14

Arsenal vs Manchester City Prediction

Our statistical model tips Arsenal to win in English Premier League on Sunday, 29 November 2026, giving Arsenal a 47% win chance, the draw 29% and Manchester City 24%. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with projected expected goals of 1.41-0.94. Over 2.5 goals is rated 42% and both teams to score 47%. Arsenal come in on WWDWD form, Manchester City on WLDLW.

Match result probability (1X2)

47%
29%
24%
Arsenal win Draw Manchester City win

Key predictions

1-1
Likely score (14%)
1.41–0.94
Expected goals
42%
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Both teams score

Form & ratings

Arsenal
WWDWD
Attack Elite · Defence Elite
Scored 8 · Conceded 4
vs
Manchester City
WLDLW
Attack Elite · Defence Elite
Scored 11 · Conceded 8

Most likely scorelines

  • 1-114%
  • 1-012%
  • 0-010%

Head-to-head

28 Arsenal 11 Draws 26 Manchester City
43%
17%
40%
These two have met 65 times.

English Premier League Standings

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal9801+924
2Manchester City9702+1021

More on this matchup

Arsenal vs Manchester City — prediction FAQ

Who will win Arsenal vs Manchester City?

Our model makes Arsenal the pick, with 47% for Arsenal, 29% for the draw and 24% for Manchester City.

What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Manchester City?

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 (14%), from projected expected goals of 1.41-0.94.

Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Manchester City?

Both teams to score is rated 47% likely, and over 2.5 goals 42%.

What is the head-to-head record for Arsenal vs Manchester City?

In 65 previous meetings, Arsenal have won 28, Manchester City 26, and 11 ended level.

Where do Arsenal and Manchester City sit in the English Premier League table?

Arsenal are 1st with 24 points and Manchester City are 2nd with 21 points.

Predictions are generated by SportScore's statistical model for information and entertainment only — not betting advice. 18+.