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English Premier League · Saturday, 21 November 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Chelsea Chelsea
vs
Leeds United Leeds United
AI prediction
Chelsea to win
Win probability: 48% · fair odds 2.09

Chelsea vs Leeds United Prediction

Our statistical model tips Chelsea to win in English Premier League on Saturday, 21 November 2026, giving Chelsea a 48% win chance, the draw 26% and Leeds United 26%. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with projected expected goals of 1.61-1.12. Over 2.5 goals is rated 51% and both teams to score 55%. Chelsea come in on WDLWW form, Leeds United on WLDDL.

Match result probability (1X2)

48%
26%
26%
Chelsea win Draw Leeds United win

Key predictions

1-1
Likely score (12%)
1.61–1.12
Expected goals
51%
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Both teams score

Form & ratings

Chelsea
WDLWW
Attack Elite · Defence Average
Scored 10 · Conceded 4
vs
Leeds United
WLDDL
Attack Average · Defence Elite
Scored 3 · Conceded 5

Most likely scorelines

  • 1-112%
  • 1-010%
  • 2-110%

Head-to-head

12 Chelsea 8 Draws 8 Leeds United
43%
29%
28%
These two have met 28 times.

English Premier League Standings

#TeamPWDLGDPts
4Chelsea9513+416
8Leeds United10352+214

More on this matchup

Chelsea vs Leeds United — prediction FAQ

Who will win Chelsea vs Leeds United?

Our model makes Chelsea the pick, with 48% for Chelsea, 26% for the draw and 26% for Leeds United.

What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Leeds United?

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%), from projected expected goals of 1.61-1.12.

Will both teams score in Chelsea vs Leeds United?

Both teams to score is rated 55% likely, and over 2.5 goals 51%.

What is the head-to-head record for Chelsea vs Leeds United?

In 28 previous meetings, Chelsea have won 12, Leeds United 8, and 8 ended level.

Where do Chelsea and Leeds United sit in the English Premier League table?

Chelsea are 4th with 16 points and Leeds United are 8th with 14 points.

Predictions are generated by SportScore's statistical model for information and entertainment only — not betting advice. 18+.