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Portuguese Primera Liga · Sunday, 20 December 2026 · 16:00 UTC
FC Arouca FC Arouca
vs
Casa Pia AC Casa Pia AC
AI prediction
FC Arouca to win
Win probability: 58% · fair odds 1.72

FC Arouca vs Casa Pia AC Prediction

Our statistical model tips FC Arouca to win in Portuguese Primera Liga on Sunday, 20 December 2026, giving FC Arouca a 58% win chance, the draw 23% and Casa Pia AC 19%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with projected expected goals of 1.63-0.79. Over 2.5 goals is rated 44% and both teams to score 43%. FC Arouca come in on LWWDW form, Casa Pia AC on DLWWL.

Match result probability (1X2)

58%
23%
19%
FC Arouca win Draw Casa Pia AC win

Key predictions

1-0
Likely score (16%)
1.63–0.79
Expected goals
44%
Over 2.5 goals
43%
Both teams score

Form & ratings

FC Arouca
LWWDW
Attack Strong · Defence Strong
Scored 6 · Conceded 4
vs
Casa Pia AC
DLWWL
Attack Weak · Defence Average
Scored 4 · Conceded 4

Most likely scorelines

  • 1-016%
  • 2-012%
  • 1-110%

Head-to-head

2 FC Arouca 3 Draws 5 Casa Pia AC
20%
30%
50%
These two have met 10 times.

Portuguese Primera Liga Standings

#TeamPWDLGDPts
5FC Arouca11623+520
16Casa Pia AC11227-148

More on this matchup

FC Arouca vs Casa Pia AC — prediction FAQ

Who will win FC Arouca vs Casa Pia AC?

Our model makes FC Arouca the pick, with 58% for FC Arouca, 23% for the draw and 19% for Casa Pia AC.

What is the predicted score for FC Arouca vs Casa Pia AC?

The most likely scoreline is 1-0 (16%), from projected expected goals of 1.63-0.79.

Will both teams score in FC Arouca vs Casa Pia AC?

Both teams to score is rated 43% likely, and over 2.5 goals 44%.

What is the head-to-head record for FC Arouca vs Casa Pia AC?

In 10 previous meetings, FC Arouca have won 2, Casa Pia AC 5, and 3 ended level.

Where do FC Arouca and Casa Pia AC sit in the Portuguese Primera Liga table?

FC Arouca are 5th with 20 points and Casa Pia AC are 16th with 8 points.

How this prediction is made →

Predictions are generated by SportScore's statistical model for information and entertainment only — not betting advice. 18+.