Southampton
Derby County
Southampton vs Derby County Prediction
Our statistical model tips Southampton to win in English Football League Championship on Saturday, 21 November 2026, giving Southampton a 71% win chance, the draw 18% and Derby County 11%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, with projected expected goals of 2.36-0.84. Over 2.5 goals is rated 62% and both teams to score 52%. Southampton come in on DWWDW form, Derby County on LLDLL.
Match result probability (1X2)
Key predictions
Form & ratings
Most likely scorelines
- 2-011%
- 2-110%
- 1-09%
Head-to-head
- 11 Apr 2026 Southampton 2–1 Derby County
- 04 Oct 2025 Derby County 1–1 Southampton
- 16 Jan 2019 Southampton 2–2 Derby County
- 05 Jan 2019 Derby County 2–2 Southampton
- 21 Jul 2018 Derby County 0–0 Southampton
English Football League Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +15 | 28 |
| 23 | Derby County | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -18 | 7 |
Southampton vs Derby County — prediction FAQ
Who will win Southampton vs Derby County?
Our model makes Southampton the pick, with 71% for Southampton, 18% for the draw and 11% for Derby County.
What is the predicted score for Southampton vs Derby County?
The most likely scoreline is 2-0 (11%), from projected expected goals of 2.36-0.84.
Will both teams score in Southampton vs Derby County?
Both teams to score is rated 52% likely, and over 2.5 goals 62%.
What is the head-to-head record for Southampton vs Derby County?
In 27 previous meetings, Southampton have won 7, Derby County 8, and 12 ended level.
Where do Southampton and Derby County sit in the English Football League Championship table?
Southampton are 1st with 28 points and Derby County are 23rd with 7 points.
Predictions are generated by SportScore's statistical model for information and entertainment only — not betting advice. 18+.